
With Indian economy moving on a high growth trajectory facilitated by a consistent and steady growth of 8 - 9% in the recent years, there is a critical need to accelerate investments in the infrastructure sector. In fact, infrastructure has emerged as a key driver for sustaining the robust growth of the economy and the government has been focusing on development of infrastructure.
India’s infrastructure build-out envisages investments of close to US$500 billion, with US$430 billion of this in the core transport and utility sectors. About one-fourth of this investment is expected to be met through Public-Private Partnerships (PPP). Successful implementation of this ambitious plan depends on four interdependent factors namely, the creation of adequate projects for tender by government agencies, the uptake of available projects by private sector developers and cash contractors, the financial closure and start of construction, and finally, the execution of projects on-time and within budget. India faces multiple challenges along all these dimensions in its quest to reach the targets set by the Eleventh Plan. To date, India’s success across sectors has been mixed. Capacity under construction or fully constructed relative to the Eleventh Plan (an integrated measure of the first three dimensions mentioned above) reveals that only the power sector is on track, achieving 100 percent of planned capacity, while the ports sector is at 85 percent, the airports sector at 75 percent 2 and the roads sector at 50 percent (including the National Highway Development Program (NHDP) that has achieved only 10 percent of planned capacity).
But even assuming the bottlenecks in project creation, uptake and execution are tackled; India is on course to a deficit of US$150 billion to US$190 billion in financing core infrastructure sectors. Structural impediments in the financial system coupled with the global credit crisis will constrain capital flows to the sector, perpetuating the deficit in core public goods and persistent inefficiencies in the economy. These consequences can be forestalled only by expeditiously reforming the financial sector to eliminate impediments to existing sources of capital, allowing new investor groups into infrastructure projects and adapting innovative mechanisms to channel investment into the sector.
Nevertheless, the infrastructure sector provides a large opportunity for financial sector players, with potential revenues of US$10 billion to US$12 billion between the financial years 2010 and 2014,3 and a revenue pool of US$25 billion to US$29 billion beyond 2014.4 Several project models with different risk-return implications are available for capital participation across all core sectors. Success will lie in building a profitable business model that earns a high sustained return on capital.
Land acquisition for developing road(either broadening or making a new one) infrastructure is the biggest bottleneck and there is no concrete law in place to deal with such a situation. Until a proper compensation model is worked out, the condition is very unlikely to change, no matter how ambitious the project is.
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